1. north Korea is the most important foreign policy issue for President Trump and he is deeply engaged in the policy process with his Korea team.2. President Trump has made over 200 phone calls to world leaders and key influencers with the main subject being north Korea. He has had over 20 calls and meetings with President Xi in which north Korea was the main topic of discussion in addition to multiple calls and engagements with President Moon and Prime Minister Abe.3. President Trump meets with his Korea team routinely for 2-3 hour long discussions of north Korea policy.4. There is an administration policy and strategy and while it is obviously close hold we are seeing elements of the strategy through statements, tweets, and actions so we should pay attention.5. One of the key elements of the strategy is President Trump's desire to undo the notion that there is no military option in north Korea (which undercuts our diplomatic efforts when people make such statements) and instead he has sought to raise the credibility of our military actions to ensure that Kim Jong-un knows that we are capable and if he threatens, we truly have the will to use military force appropriately. There is frustration with think tanks and pundits and analysts who continually state there is no good military option as that undermines our strategy.6. The President's tweets illustrate the range of actions he is willing to take. He is willing to meet with Kim Jong-un but he also will not hesitate to use military force if necessary to defend the US.7. Finally, we should recall that during the campaign north Korea was not an issue. However, during the transition the President recognized the importance of the threat and has made north Korea his number one foreign policy priority.
Thursday, January 11, 2018
I attended at conference on Korea this week and learned the following information from the discussions. With Chatham House rules I cannot identify the conference or the participants. But I think the information discussed provides important information and insights into our Korea foreign policy.
Wednesday, December 27, 2017
Just as an aside here is an excerpt from Unrestricted Warfare (page 42 in the original FBIS translation from 1999). Note the reference to "drug warfare." So are we experiencing "a reverse opium war?" I think the subtitle in the article explains why someone would want to create a larger drug crisis in America.
Aside from what we have discussed above, we can point out a number of other means and methods used to fight a non-military war, some of which already exist and some of which may exist in the future. Such means and methods include psychological warfare (spreading rumors to intimidate the enemy and break down his will); smuggling warfare (throwing markets into confusion and attacking economic order); media warfare (manipulating what people see and hear in order to lead public opinion along); drug warfare (obtaining sudden and huge illicit profits by spreading disaster in other countries); network warfare (venturing out in secret and concealing one's identity in a type of warfare that is virtually impossible to guard against); technological warfare (creating monopolies by setting standards independently); fabrication warfare (presenting a counterfeit appearance of real strength before the eyes of the enemy); resources warfare (grabbing riches by plundering stores of resources); economic aid warfare (bestowing favor in the open and contriving to control matters in secret); cultural warfare (leading cultural trends along in order to assimilate those with different views); and international law warfare (seizing the earliest opportunity to set up regulations), etc., etc In addition, there are other types of non-military warfare which are too numerous to mention. In this age, when the plethora of new technologies can in turn give rise to a plethora of new means and methods of fighting war, (not to mention the cross-combining and creative use of these means and methods), it would simply be senseless and a waste of effort to list all of the means and methods one by one.
And I cannot resist including this excerpt from page 87 which also includes reference to drugs but I think the entire spectrum of "non-military wars" it lists is pretty prescient for 1999:
Perhaps people already have no way of accurately pointing out when it first began that the principal actors starting wars were no longer only those sovereign states, but Japan's Shinrikyo, the Italian Mafia, extremist Muslim terrorist organizations, the Columbian or "Golden New Moon" drug cartel, underground figures with malicious intent, financiers who control large amounts of powerful funds, as well as psychologically unbalanced individuals who are fixed on a certain target, have obstinate personalities, and stubborn characters, all of whom can possibly become the creators of a military or non-military war.
Conclusion from the article:
So while the United States. continues to lose it’s geopolitical focus and wrestles with internal demons, the twenty-first century is tilting everyday away from the high flying Eagle and once more to the reawakened and rising Dragon of the East. To the degree that Fentanyl and opiates in general facilitate this process, it could be viewed as just another rhyme in the longue duree of ever oscillating rising and falling power.
Tuesday, December 19, 2017
Below is the summary of the NSS and full 68 page NSS can be downloaded at this link: https://www.whitehouse.
gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/ 12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905. pdf
My favorite excerpt from page 14 is on resiliency. Say what you want about POTUS, regardless of on which end of the political spectrum you reside, if we would all just take this paragraph and 106 words to heart our nation would be better off.
A democracy is only as resilient as its people. An informed and engaged citizenry is the fundamental requirement for a free and resilient nation. For generations, our society has protected free press, free speech, and free thought. Today, actors such as Russia are using information tools in an attempt to undermine the legitimacy of democracies. Adversaries target media, political processes, financial networks, and personal data. The American public and private sectors must recognize this and work together to defend our way of life. No external threat can be allowed to shake our shared commitment to our values, undermine our system of government, or divide our Nation.
Tuesday, November 28, 2017
Dear Friends, I do not normally do this (except I did this last year too) and I certainly do not mean to use my news service for solicitation so please forgive me. I was asked for recommendations on organizations to support so I thought I would share with you the organizations to whom I give. I support four main causes: The Green Beret Foundation, The Small Wars Journal, The Committee for Human Rights North Korea, and Spirit of America (and I do contribute to WAMU so I can get my daily does of NPR as well). As we near the end of the year and people are making decisions to give to worthy causes I thought I would share this with you. Please give to your favorite organizations this year and if you need a suggestion for giving please consider Spirit of America, The Committee for Human Rights in North Korea, The Green Beret Foundation and Small Wars Journal.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
I attended this event today. Thae Yong-ho makes some very good points. I am about to go participate in a dinner with him this evening so I hope to dive deeper into some of his ideas on information and influence
activities in the north.
Sunday, October 29, 2017
I participated in this one hour loop cast discussion on Friday. You can access the podcast at the link below.
Strategy and the North Korea crisis
October 29th, 2017
David Maxwell discusses strategy and the North Korea crisis. His blog can be found here, and his latest articles on North Korea can be found here: "Why We Are Where We Are With North Korea - And Where Do We Go From Here?" and "15 assumptions about the behavior of North Korea’s Kim Family Regime (KFR)."
The interview today was conducted by Chelsea Daymon, and the show is produced by Chelsea Daymon and Sina Kashefipour.
If you have enjoyed listening to The Loopcast please consider making a donation to the show through our Patreon. We greatly appreciate it.
Thursday, October 26, 2017
On October 16-17 I visited the US Army John F. Kennedy Special Warfare Center and School, also known and the US Army Special Operations Center of Excellence to discuss Korean security issues. I gave a 90 minute talk (half Q&A) and conducted an a 25 minute interview. Both videos are at the Project Gray Web Site as well as at the You Tube links below.
You can access the slides to the above presentation here:
You can access the slides to the above presentation here:
I attended at conference on Korea this week and learned the following information from the discussions. With Chatham House rules I cannot i...
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