Showing posts with label Myanmar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Myanmar. Show all posts

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Myanmar today is guide for NK of tomorrow


It is interesting that China's The People's Daily would make a similar argument as the US for north Korea to follow the "Burma Model."  But the author makes similar mistakes we make in the west.  The north is likely not interested in what is best for any other country, the region or the international community.  Although it is likely that the north trusts China more than the US I would say that they do not trust China that much more.  I think these statements could have been written in the west.

Applying the same ideology to North Korea, we would find that an open North Korea would be more beneficial to China,
…
The significance of North Korea's openness is not less than that of Myanmar. The economic revival of the Korean Peninsula will not only serve as a boost to the development of Northeast Asia, but also stimulate the prosperity of Russia's far-east as well. No one is willing to spoil this opportunity by using a nuclear bomb.

This statement also confirms the north fears that it will be the economic and geopolitical battleground contested by the major powers.  (Confirms the Korean proverb of being a shrimp among whales).

For sure, North Korea with an open society, and the involvement of the US, South Korea and Japan will bring about troubles and problems for China. But these fears will not be conducive to China's progress when dealing with these powers. 

I just do not think the argument by the Chinese for the north adopting a "Burma Model" will have any more influence on the Kim Family Regime that a similar argument being made by the US.
V/R
Dave

Myanmar today is guide for NK of tomorrow
Global Times | 2013-4-17 21:18:01 
By Ding Gang




The sanctions put on Myanmar by Western countries caused at least two phenomena: Myanmar's national economy was suffocated, and its dependence on China became stronger.

These phenomena turned out to be the decisive reason why Myanmar carried out reform and opening-up afterward in exchange for the sanctions being lifted.

During the sanction period, China provided extensive aid and helped develop infrastructure such as hydroelectric stations, some of which were finally approved by the Myanmese government though seeing some opposition.

These projects have benefited the people of Myanmar. For example, the Yeywa power station, which was built on Chinese concessional loans, has relieved the high pressure caused by the growing demand for electricity in Yangon.

However, Myanmar is still alert to its northern neighbor. The former military junta, though realizing the importance of keeping balance with China in terms of economy and politics, was left with no choice under the Western sanctions.

Myanmar's decision to open up, on the one hand, will accommodate the requirements from the West for more support; on the other hand, it will add weight to its attempt to balance an over-dependence on China.

The above two purposes directly contributed to the incident of the Myitsone dam. The stranded project played a significant role in lifting Western sanctions, and as a result, more capital from the US and Europe may come in, elbowing China out to an unfair position.

However, this unexpected loss will not change the fact that a reformed and open-minded Myanmar will increasingly stabilize economic trade with China.

They will not become adversaries as expected by some.

The revival of Myanmar will enliven the whole of Southeast Asia, promoting the development of India and Bangladesh, and expanding the radius of Sino-ASEAN cooperation to the south.

Applying the same ideology to North Korea, we would find that an open North Korea would be more beneficial to China, even though problems like Myitsone might occur.
(Continued at the link below)

Sunday, January 13, 2013

A wider war looms in Myanmar


I do not think people expected this after we initiated our reengagement with Burma.  And of course the excerpt below is perhaps the crux of the problem and illustrates one of the conundrums we face: do we support our interests; e.g., international stability of the nation-state system and respect sovereignty or do we stand up for a fundamental US value; e.g., the right to self-determination of a people.  
There are two fundamentally opposed and seemingly incompatible views on how Myanmar's decades-long ethnic quagmire should be resolved. The KIA and other ethnic groups want autonomy within a federal union, while the government wants to uphold the present 2008 Constitution, which lays the foundations for a centralized system. 
The question is can there be compromise and a political resolution to the differences between the ethnic groups and the Burmese government?  
V/R
Dave


A wider war looms in Myanmar
By Bertil Lintner 

CHIANG MAI - Recent weeks have seen some of the heaviest fighting in Myanmar's decades-long civil war with government forces launching determined attacks against the Kachin Independence Army (KIA), an ethnic guerrilla force in the far north of the country. 

For the first time ever, the government has used helicopter gunships and modern, sophisticated attack aircraft against the ethnic rebels, an escalation that has earned condemnation from

human-rights groups and undermined President Thein Sein's credibility as a national peacemaker. 

Most of the fighting is taking place around the KIA's headquarters at the border town of Laiza near China. The government seems determined to crush the Kachin resistance and gain control over the area now administered by the rebels. 

The ongoing offensive may cripple the KIA militarily, but it will likely not defeat the rebel resistance. Observers fear that the outcome will be intense ethnic hatred, making it even more difficult to establish a lasting peace. Many Kachin now feel that there is no place for them in Myanmar. 

"We know that it is wrong to feel that way, but we can't help it," says a Kachin women in the state capital Myitkyina. Adding insult to injury, the airstrikes against the Kachin, the vast majority of whom are Christian, began in earnest on Christmas Eve. "This we will never forget or forgive," said a Kachin community worker. 

The Kachins have become even more antagonized because of pro-democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi's refusal to intervene in the crisis. Despite several appeals to the former Nobel Peace Prize laureate to act in a war in her own country, Suu Kyi has steadfastly refused to take a stand. On January 6, she told Agence France-Presse that she would not step in to help end the worsening conflict without official approval. 
(Continued at the link below)

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